First match ended with Crvena Zvezda win by 1:0.They did not deserve to win that match,Groclin had plenty of chances,but did not manage to take advantage of Crvena Zvezda defense mistakes.

Crvena Zvezda comes to this game after a big derby against Partizan 2:2 and finally they played a decent game,Molina got his chance to start and played excellent.Attack also looked better,with Jestrovic up front instead of lousy Brakos.
Still Crvena Zvezda is miles away from their best form and coach is miles away from genius,I expect them to mildly attack and focus more on preserving their advantage from the first round.Crvena Zvezda will miss
midfielders Burzanovic and Milovanovic,but has good substitutions for their positions,also Bronowicki is doubtful.The main reason I am taking this pick is because Crvena Zvezda is not really that much better team than Groclin and if they take the lead first they will try to defend it until the end of the match
.I have seen our coach use this poor tactic many times before.Imao fair handicap should be +3/4 on Groclin.GL

Well,I managed to erase almost finished analysis for this game,will not write it again,couse I am lazy bastard,but trust me this is a good pick.We have the same odds for over-under in this game and in Barcelona-Zaragoza game.Are
the chances for over equal in these matches?I think they are much greater in Barca game and rightfully set so there must be value in this under.GL

Ok,I am adding 5 more units to this bet because of incredible value.First some stats: these teams played 4 and 5 matches so far,results were 4 unders for Crvena Zvezda and 4 unders and 1 over for Vojvodina.So far Crvena Zvezda played 3 matches home 3 unders,Vojvodina 3 matches away 3 unders.Resent Crvena Zvezda Europian matches:against Glasgow Rangers 1:0 lost,0:0,yesterday against Groclin 0:1 won.

Now some facts.Crvena Zvezda is playing their worst football ever,they simply can not score,3 only 3
goals in 4 matches and 0 goals conceded.Reason is horrible attack led by new player Brakos who did not score yet and probably wont in a long time.Now Crvena Zvezda signed Jestrovic,he is old but a good player and will make attack a little bit more productive.About the game it self,it is very important for both teams,they both started season purely and are in need of points badly.Vojvodina is looking to finish in 3 or 4 place in league and their defense is solid but attack weak.They will come to Maracana to defend and try to do something from counter attacks,Crvena Zvezda will attack but badly and it would be close to miricle if they score more then twice.Probably 1-0 will be the result of this game,imo about 1.7 should be the price for under 2.5 goals,this odds are way off.

I will add preview later.

Mladost Lucani v Partizan Belgrade is this week clash in Serbia Super league,but let me say there is nothing super about it,this is the lowest scoring league in Europe right now and I have decided to play over goals?The reason is pretty simple there is only one high scoring,offensive minded team in this league and that is Partizan.So far they scored 12 goals,conceded 3,played 5 games and won them all.Away they played 3 games won twice by 1:0,but this were tough opponents,OFK Beograd and FK Vojvodina,probably the best from this league beside Crvena Zvezda and Partizan missed plenty of chances in this match.Third match was against Cukaricki and they won it easily by 3:0.Patizan is playing best football in last 10 years,they dominate in midfield,create a lot of chances against every opponent,their game is fluid and fast.Every team witch concedes less than 2 goals against them can consider themselfs lucky.

As for Mladost Lucani,they will try to defend for as long as possible,but I dont think they will survive Partizan attacks for long and when they conceive they will try to open up and will be punished for it.Also Partizan plays very risky in defense,their line is at 30-40m form their goal,always trying to catch opposite attackers in offside traps,this is effective,but also can back fire so we may see a goal for Mladost here too.

Arsenal is hosting Sevilla first fixture for both of them in this year CL.Sevilla are novices in CL but have excellent performances in Europe,winning two consecutive Uefa Cups in two previous years.Lets make it clear,it is a great achievement but Cl is two levels harder competition.

Current form of both teams is great,Sevilla has 6 out of 6 points in Primera,while Arsenal is on the top of Premier league with 13 out of 15 possible points.Arsenal lost Henry last season but their game is not getting any worse,actually Cesc says it is getting better,because players cant depend on Henrys magic anymore,they have to pass,run and create
chances for each other.In one word they are more of a team now.
For this odds to be true Sevilla would have to be better team,than Arsenal,in better form or Arsenal should be weak at home field.Well none of this is true.Arsenal has better midfield than Sevilla,attack is about equal,only defense of Sevilla is little better because Gallas and Eboue are missing.As for their home venue advantage fact that Gunners have not lost any of their last 16 European home matches, since a 1-2 defeat by Chelsea,and have a 4-2-0 record at their new stadium speaks for it self.
Probable lineups:Arsenal FC: Almunia; Sagna, Toure, Silva, Cliché; Hleb, Cesc Fabregas, Rosicky, Flamini; Adebayor y Van Persie.Sevilla FC: Palop; Daniel Alves, Boulahrouz, Escudé, Dragutinovic; Jesús Navas, Poulsen, Keita, Duda; Luis Fabiano y Kanouté.(from Marca)
Imo,this will be a very exciting match,probable over but home advantage and Arsenals experience in this competition should prevail.My fair price on this match is Arsenal 2.05 -1/2 AH.GL

Not much of a preview,but bookies are over the top here.Partizan is 90% winning this match,but 50% with 3 or more goals.I don't think so.GL

This is gonna be a fast and furious match.Line is not high enough for these two teams.Lithuania is playing really fast and offensive basketball,they average attack lasts for about 10 seconds and they are shooting a lot of tree pointers,same goes for Croatia.They wont change their game style just because this is quarter finals match,I expect them to continue with their game,it is very possible that both teams might go over 80 points in this clash.Lithuania and Croatia both try to beat their opponents by outscoring them,same should be here.Line is at least 5 points lower than it should be so a big stake here.GL

Spain,favorite to win this competition are meeting Russia only team with all wins so far.
Spread is huge,considering that Spain is about to face their toughest opponent yet,but they already managed to lose a game against rather weak and unstable Croatia.Russia may not have many stars in their team like Spain does,but they are working very well together,lots of assists,rock solid defense witch causes fast breaks and easy points.By names they are nothing special but they play and teamwork is exceptional.
Spain is the better team here and they have home advantage,but saying that it's more probable for Spain to trash Russia by 8 or more points,than for this to be a tight game is really wrong,so I'am taking this gift.

I think there is some value in this total line.Both of these teams are very offensive minded,playing fast basketball and are in good shooting form.Croatia in their last match managed to beat Spain,they are full of confidence now and I expect them to continue their good performance.But they,like Israel are not paying enough attention to defense,always trying to outscore their opponents.

Israel passed to this stage with win over Serbia in a very high scoring game,think they will try to use same strategy in this game as defense is deffenetly not a stronger part of their game.Fair line imo is around 160 points.

Wow,I am really surprised to see Greece as favorites in this clash.They showed nothing but good defense and boring basketball so far in this competition.They luckily managed to beat Serbia yesterday after overtime,and even had hard time against weak Israel until the 4th period.On the other side Russia managed easily to over come both Serbia and Israel showing great defense but also good attack.Kirilenko and co. are red hot ,unlike the Greeks who are stone cold,throwing bricks at basket.And after all this we have seen from both sides Greeks are favorites in this clash,just because they are former Europian champions.Don't think so,I am taking this offer gladly :D.